A Brief Poll Note

 Green Eagle is not one to obsess over polls, but the following seemed significant today, from ABC and the University of Chicago:


"The president heads into his four-night nominating convention with an overall approval rating of 35%."


35%.  Boy, those are numbers to be entering into a re-election campaign with.  Of course, ABC has to try to deny the significance of this result:


"That’s down from 43% in March but still within range of where Trump has been for much of his presidency."


Still within range?  I don't think so.  As you can see here, Trump's approval rating has (unbelievably) been essentially above 40% since February of 2018.


538 is showing today Biden with an 11% lead.  These are not numbers that result in a win for an incumbent.


And yet, let me add my usual caveat:  As I stated months ago, it is impossible for Donald Trump to be re-elected in a fair contest.  The entire outcome of the election will be determined by the success of the usual Republican cheat/smear campaign, which due to the urgent need, will be amped up to an almost unbearable level between now and November.  So, he could very well win, just not in any kind of fair election, which Republicans are determined to see never takes place this year.

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