My Analysis of the New Hampshire Vote

I'll make this brief.  In Iowa, Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis got about 22% of the vote each.  Trump got about 52%; i.e. he beat them by 30 points each.

So, DeSantis dropped out.  My guess at that point was that Trump and Haley would pretty much split DeSantis' 22 points, giving each 11 points, so the final result of the New Hampshire race should have been something like this: Haley: 33 points; Trump 63 points.  Instead, of course, Haley got 44 points in New Hampshire, and Trump only managed to weakly pick off 2 points from DeSantis's voters, coming in around 54 points.

To my mind, this is a colossal failure of momentum.  It is not that this violent man and the hate-filled base that supports him could barely bully his own party's voters into giving him more than a bare majority, but that, as I think is obvious, something has gone seriously wrong with his march to the White House.

As miserable as the mainstream press has been at even honestly presenting the horse race side of the contest, let alone the issues, still, more and more people are beginning to see this.  Trump, I believe, can feel it too; thus his increasingly vicious outbursts in court and in public.  And there is little doubt that the next eight months are going to be littered with more and more occasions that provoke his dementia.  This seems to have no effect on his followers, but it has to effect somebody, and not to his benefit.  

Barring some cataclysmic change in things between now and November, I have a sense that Trump may be heading toward the largest electoral collapse in American history (if he makes it that far without being declared mentally incompetent.)  At the rate he is going, by November, there may be hardly a person around who wants to be seen at his side.  And I don't think he retains enough mental acuity to head this off.  We are very possibly watching a collapse of  monumental proportions, acted out in front of the world.